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Z-Tests in multinomial probit models under simulated maximum likelihood estimation: some small sample properties

机译:模拟最大似然估计下的多项式概率模型中的Z检验:一些小样本属性

摘要

This paper analyzes small sample properties of several versions of z-tests in multinomial probit\udmodels under simulated maximum likelihood estimation. OurMonte Carlo experiments show\udthat z-tests on utility function coefficients provide more robust results than z-tests on variance\udcovariance parameters. As expected, both the number of observations and the number of random\uddraws in the incorporatedGeweke-Hajivassiliou-Keane (GHK) simulator have on average\uda positive impact on the conformities between the shares of type I errors and the nominal significance\udlevels. Furthermore, an increase of the number of observations leads to an expected\uddecrease of the shares of type II errors, whereas the number of random draws in the GHK\udsimulator surprisingly has no significant effect in this respect. One main result of our study\udis that the use of the robust version of the simulated z-test statistics is not systematically\udmore favorable than the use of other versions. However, the application of the z-test statistics\udthat exclusively include the Hessian matrix of the simulated loglikelihood function to estimate\udthe information matrix often leads to substantial computational problems.
机译:本文分析了模拟最大似然估计下多项式概率模型中z检验的几个版本的小样本属性。我们的蒙特卡洛实验表明\ ud效用函数系数的z检验比方差\ udco方差参数的z检验提供了更可靠的结果。正如预期的那样,合并的Geweke-Hajivassiliou-Keane(GHK)模拟程序中的观察次数和随机抽奖次数平均对类型I错误份额与名义重要性\ udlevel之间的一致性具有积极的影响。此外,观察数量的增加导致II型错误的份额的预期\减少,而GHK \ udsim模拟器中随机抽取的数量在这方面没有显着影响。我们研究的一个主要结果是,使用模拟z检验统计量的鲁棒版本在系统上不比使用其他版本好。但是,仅包含模拟对数似然函数的Hessian矩阵的z检验统计量来估计信息矩阵的应用经常会导致大量的计算问题。

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  • 作者

    Ziegler, Andreas;

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  • 年度 2010
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